I remain optimistic on markets during this election year of 2024, but here is a short-term trade strategy that profits if volatility returns and profit taking becomes a theme during the last month of the first quarter.
The S & P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq each notched their best February returns since 2015, while the Dow had its best February since 2021.
This is noteworthy as historically there has been "seasonal" weakness associated with February returns, due to portfolio repositioning and earnings season disappointments.
With 97% of S & P 500 companies reporting actual results, investors have seen 73% of these firms exceed EPS estimates while the S & P 500 reported growth of 4.0%, according to FactSet.
It is more about the opportunity I see at these overbought levels as the SPDR S & P 500 ETF (SPY) is trading at RSI levels of 76.
Persons:
Dow, Kilburg
Organizations:
Nasdaq